It may take many years to know the full story of how the explosions were carried out in thousands of Hezbollah's pagers and walkie-talkies. Although Israel is not ready to openly accept that it is behind these blasts, it is clear that the planning must have been very thorough and very careful. Experts generally believe that a small piece of explosive must have been carefully hidden or implanted in each device.
"There would not have been a need to use a lot of explosives because these devices remain very close to the human body, so a few grams of explosives are enough to cause very serious injury," said Alan Woodward, professor of cyber security at the University of Surrey, The Guardian reported.
There will be an explosion as soon as the message is sent
The first blasts occurred on Tuesday at around 3.30 pm local time. It seems that a special message from Hezbollah leadership came on the pagers and the blasts occurred.
Woodward argued that the explosives may have been connected to the pagers' embedded software, meaning that the explosion would occur as soon as the specific message was sent.
Eyewitnesses say that the pager gave the first beep, then it stopped and after a few seconds, there was an explosion. The timing was set in such a way that the user should bring the pager close to his face and eyes to see the message when it beeped. Perhaps this is the reason why Lebanese doctors said that most of the injured people had injuries in their hands and eyes.
Blasts to block Hezbollah's communications
Tuesday's blasts killed 12 people and injured about 2,800. A second wave of explosions on Wednesday killed 14 people when walkie-talkies began exploding.
This suggests that these attacks were a massive effort to block Hezbollah's communications. It is feared that these blasts may be part of a plot to launch a bombing or military attack on South Lebanon.
Oleg Brodt, director of Ben-Gurion University's cyber labs, said bombing pagers was not a trivial task and was likely done somewhere in the supply chain.
He said that Israel's Mossad agency or whoever carried out these attacks might have needed to implant them or would have had to deal with a manufacturer to get such pagers made.
Suspicion on the company that makes pagers
The pagers bore the logo of a Taiwanese manufacturing company, Gold Apollo. Its founder, Su Ching-kuang, said his company had subcontracted the production of the AR-924 model used in the attack to BAC Consulting Kft of Budapest. He said the deal was struck three years ago.
This is where the links get a little weird. BAC Consulting was registered in Hungary in 2022 and listed a Budapest address on its website, the same address used by several companies.
According to her LinkedIn profile, its CEO is Cristiana Barsoni-Arcidiacono, and she graduated from the London School of Economics (LSE). She knows both Hungarian and Italian.
He confirmed to NBC that his company works with Gold Apollo. When asked about the pagers and the explosions, Barsoni-Arcidiacono said, "I don't make pagers. I'm just an intermediate. I think you got it wrong." Later, Hungarian officials also said the pagers were not made in their country.
There was also intelligence about Hezbollah
Creating the deadly booby-trapped pager is only half the story. Whoever did it also had some inside intelligence from Hezbollah. They knew that Hezbollah had ordered about 5,000 pagers, because the group's leader, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, warned against the use of mobile phones in February.
"Your phone is their agent," the Hezbollah secretary-general warned at the time. Little did he know, however, that his group's enemies could plant explosives inside pagers.
The attackers also knew who would supply these to Hezbollah. Also, they had so much power and strong planning that they could control everything from its manufacture to its supply to the terrorist group.
Why is Mossad under suspicion?
"The scale, damage, and precision of the attack suggest that preparations for this specific operation must have been underway for months," said Emile Hokayem of the International Institute for Strategic Studies.
Although Israel has not taken responsibility for the attack, some people suspect that its security forces were behind it. In 1996, Hamas leader Yahya Ayyash was killed in a similar mobile phone blast. It is believed that this was the work of an Israeli agent.
Soon after the attack, Yossi Melman, co-author of Spies Against Armageddon and several books on Israeli intelligence, asked, "Why would you waste a valuable intelligence asset that could be used at a more urgent time?"
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